Huddart, S., Ingawale, P., Edwin, J., Jondhale, V., Pai, M., Benedetti, A., Shah, D., & Vijayan, S. (2021). TB case fatality and recurrence in a private sector cohort in Mumbai, India. The International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, 25(9), 738–746. https://doi.org/10.5588/ijtld.21.0266

Summary

Published September 2021.

Background

Half of India´s three million TB patients are treated in the largely unregulated private sector, where quality of care is often poor. Private provider interface agencies (PPIAs) seek to improve private sector quality of care, which can be measured in terms of case fatality and recurrence rates.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort survey of 4,000 private sector patients managed by the PATH PPIA between 2014 and 2017. We estimated treatment and post-treatment case-fatality ratios (CFRs) and recurrence rates. We used Cox proportional hazards models to identify predictors of fatality and recurrence. Patient loss to follow-up was adjusted for using selection weighting.

Results

The treatment CFR was 7.1% (95% CI 6.0–8.2). At 24 months post-treatment, the CFR was 2.4% (95% CI 1.7–3.0) and the recurrence rate was 1.9% (95% CI 1.3–2.5). Treatment fatality was associated with age (HR 1.02, 95% CI 1.02–1.03), clinical diagnosis (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.45–0.84), treatment duration (HR 0.09, 95% CI 0.06–0.10) and adherence. Post-treatment fatality was associated with treatment duration (HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.79–0.91) and adherence.

Conclusions

We found a moderate treatment phase CFR among PPIA-managed private sector patient with low rates of post-treatment fatality and recurrence. Routine monitoring of patient outcomes after treatment would strengthen PPIAs and inform future post TB interventions.

Geographies
India

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